
Resolved No on 25 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 10% on 20 May 2024. Before it settled, the high was 11% on 22 May 2024 and the low 0.4% on 25 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.7 points down, to 1.3% on 23 May 2024. $50.84K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 26, 5:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 May 2024 – 25 May 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2024 | 10.0% |
| 25 May 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GABAGOOL | Yes | 1.45K |
| NebulaSwift | Yes | 290.24 |
| tom - 12291 | Yes | 222.22 |
| sdddddddd | Yes | 153.85 |
| WSnipez | Yes | 54.99 |
| rrr99999 | Yes | 53.85 |
| Buildordie | Yes | 40 |
| ravnica44 | Yes | 38.46 |
| AninKenedy | Yes | 14.29 |
| AYOTRADER | Yes | 12.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-blames-israel-for-helicopter-crash
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