Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Jun 2025.
$189.84K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 15, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 14 Jun 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thin-Membrane | No | 5.99K |
| Kampbaas | No | 1.81K |
| Sandzy | No | 1.11K |
| Alzhabi | No | 461.85 |
| Dankwizart420 | No | 310.34 |
| Glwiseh | No | 166.67 |
| Overcooked-Signet | No | 128.74 |
| icecream9246 | No | 120 |
| qwertzu | No | 100 |
| YoungFatWalletUwU | No | 85.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-ballistic-missile-strike-on-israel-by-friday
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