Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 30% on 19 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2023 to 19 Sep 2023, the highest close was 30% on 19 Aug 2023 and the lowest 5.5% on 12 Sep 2023. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 5.5% on 12 Sep 2023. $3.64K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 20, 4:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 19 Aug 2023 – 19 Sep 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2023 | 30.0% |
| 19 Sep 2023 | 9.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at the close of the first trading day of Instacart's IPO, Instacart has a market cap over $20,000,000,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Instacart does not have an IPO by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources for Instacart's market cap at close.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/instacart-market-cap-20b
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