
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 101 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 50% on 23 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20.5% on 27 Mar 2024. $50.19K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 101 points, 23 Mar 2024 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hanchangsheng | Yes | 178.57 |
| ClarkP002 | Yes | 6.67 |
| jacklol | Yes | 2.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
qqq
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-june-30
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| No |
| 1 |
| GFHJGHHFJLF | Yes | 0.34 |
| GFHFDG | Yes | 0.33 |
| uiuiuiui | No | 0.32 |