Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.5%. Yes opened at 39% on 24 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2025 to 25 Apr 2025, the highest close was 60.5% on 25 Apr 2025 and the lowest 39% on 24 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 60.5% on 25 Apr 2025. $107.05K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Apr 2025 – 25 Apr 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2025 | 39.0% |
| 25 Apr 2025 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GayPride | No | 8.56K |
| betaverse | No | 10 |
| adarshd | Yes | 2.94 |
| theamityaff | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of India and Pakistan between April 23, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Indian and Pakistani military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/india-x-pakistan-military-clash-before-july
| Supershy | Yes | 0.02 |
| 0x627A0123bE | No | 0.02 |
| boopyboop | No | 0.02 |
| Karekken | Yes | 0.01 |
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