Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 15 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 15 Nov 2023 to 18 Nov 2023, the highest close was 28.5% on 15 Nov 2023 and the lowest 2.5% on 18 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 13.5% on 16 Nov 2023. $4.17K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 15 Nov 2023 – 18 Nov 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2023 | 28.5% |
| 18 Nov 2023 | 2.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by Nov 17, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iceland-volcanic-eruption-by-nov-17
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