Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 14 Nov 2023. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 14 Nov 2023 and the low 0.4% on 16 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 9% on 15 Nov 2023. $48.29K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 14 Nov 2023 – 16 Nov 2023 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2023 | 24.5% |
| 16 Nov 2023 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moneybeast | Yes | 55.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by Nov 15, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iceland-volcanic-eruption-by-nov-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
