Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 43% on 29 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2023 to 19 Dec 2023, the highest close was 95% on 19 Dec 2023 and the lowest 6.5% on 18 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 89 points up, to 95% on 19 Dec 2023. $10.56K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 29 Nov 2023 – 19 Dec 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2023 | 43.0% |
| 19 Dec 2023 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BusterBluth | No | 2.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption by December 31, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iceland-volcanic-eruption-by-dec-31
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