
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55%. Yes opened at 69% on 12 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 69% on 12 Jun 2024 and the low 12% on 23 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 48% on 28 Oct 2024. $8.75K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 3:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 174 points · 12 Jun 2024 – 2 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2024 | 69.0% |
| 2 Dec 2024 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Backtrainer | Yes | 1.45 |
| beesaca | No | 0.02 |
| ERTDFSSD | Yes | 0.02 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to any term of probation for convictions in his federal gun charges case "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered before December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hunter-biden-gun-sentence
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 0.02 |
| TYERUTRY | Yes | 0.02 |
| YUTYUR | Yes | 0.02 |
| IOYPTUI | Yes | 0.02 |
| DFDSDGADF | Yes | 0.02 |
| TYIETYU | Yes | 0.02 |
| JGHSDFGXCV | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard