Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 12 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 174 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, the highest close was 42.8% on 2 Sep 2024 and the lowest 4.3% on 30 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 13.7% on 3 Sep 2024. $93.93K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 1:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 174 points, 12 Jun 2024 – 2 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2024 | 5.5% |
| 2 Dec 2024 | 14.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 81.3K |
| Ptolemyii | Yes | 6.43K |
| TriaKube | Yes | 6.13K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend between 1 year (inclusive) and 3 years (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government entities. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hunter-biden-prison-time-in-gun-sentence
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 700 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 150 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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