Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 4% on 4 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 155 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 9.2% on 28 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 4 Nov 2024. $71.91K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 7:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 155 points, 4 Jun 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | 4.0% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TriaKube | Yes | 4.31K |
| Darling-Cormorant | Yes | 3K |
| Ruddy-Town | Yes | 2.38K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden spends at least 48 consecutive hours in custody in a jail or prison between June 2 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hunter-biden-in-jail-before-election-day
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 905.48 |
| Buoyant-Sunrise | Yes | 724.5 |
| Antique-Asphalt | Yes | 718.67 |
| Numb-Heyday | Yes | 666.67 |
| Total-Pinafore | Yes | 437.5 |
| Guilty-Clipboard | Yes | 375.76 |
| Grotesque-Captor | Yes | 333.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
