Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55%. Yes opened at 22% on 14 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 110 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2023 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 45% on 1 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 45% on 1 Apr 2024. $224.19K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 14 Dec 2023 – 1 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2023 | 22.0% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if son of US president Joseph Biden, Hunter Biden, is arrested by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against Hunter Biden and information from Hunter Biden's legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hunter-biden-arrested-before-april
| Yes |
| 18.85 |
| nihaoercison | No | 1.04 |
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