Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 22 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 14% on 23 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 6.5% on 25 Feb 2025. $48.45K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 22 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | 10.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| errlend | Yes | 857.14 |
| Nandorepp | Yes | 650 |
| Mantisman | Yes | 357.14 |
| Gerchuchu10 | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On February 21, a bat coronavirus that has the capacity to spread to humans, known as HKU5-CoV-2, was reportedly discovered (See: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/china-discovers-new-bat-coronavirus-that-poses-risk-of-animal-to-human-transmission/3489013) This market will resolve to "Yes" if a human case of HKU5-CoV-2 is confirmed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/human-case-of-new-covid-disease-before-april
| oprah374maurice | No | 0.09 |
| NoiseC | No | 0.03 |
| BGoldone | Yes | 0.02 |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.02 |
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
| Self-Assured-Benefit | Yes | 0.01 |
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