Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 3 May 2026, the highest close was 46% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 3 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 30% on 29 Apr 2026. $1.31K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 3 May 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 44.5% |
| 3 May 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tremendous-Liberty | Yes | 37.04 |
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour1 | Yes | 4.8 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 3 |
| the1percent1 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Prva Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Rijeka.
Resolution source: https://hnl.hr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hr1-lok-rij-2026-05-03
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