Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 38% on 1 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 1 Jan 2026 and the low 9% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 9% on 2 Jan 2026. $27.71K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 1 Jan 2026 – 2 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | 38.0% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 9.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 535 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 450 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 356 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 228 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 169 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 132.98 |
| Dearest-Frame | Yes | 125.95 |
| Supn | Yes | 89 |
| MrZay | Yes | 74 |
| tanshipian | Yes | 60.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-january-2
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