Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 1 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 36.5% on 1 Jan 2026 and the low 8.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 8.5% on 2 Jan 2026. $14.93K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 1 Jan 2026 – 2 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | 36.5% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Maskache | Yes | 6K |
| Gozadordelarosada | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 539 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 456 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 354 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 333 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 217 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 176 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 172 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 130 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-january-2
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