Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 31.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 68.5% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 42% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 68.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $3.69K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 42.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 766 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 503.41 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 307 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 296 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-18
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 237 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 162 |
| OmniStrat | Yes | 150 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 122 |
| t189 | Yes | 100 |
| tiancs | Yes | 100 |
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