Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 17 Dec 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 16 Dec 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 24.5% on 17 Dec 2025. $7.59K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 856 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 439 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 274 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 228 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-17
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 228 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 214.97 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 195 |
| OmniStrat | Yes | 129.99 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 111.9 |
| 9735 | Yes | 100 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
