Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 45% on 16 Dec 2025 and the low 0.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 0.5% on 17 Dec 2025. $5.49K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 45.0% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.73K |
| zonh | Yes | 999.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 870 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 549 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 445 |
| paspor | Yes | 433 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 372 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 245 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 171 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 148 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-17
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