Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 2 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 2.9% on 2 Jan 2026 and the low 2.1% on 3 Jan 2026. $85.83K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 5, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 2 Jan 2026 – 3 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | 2.9% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MagodeOzCRIPTO | Yes | 30K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.92K |
| samhain4ik | Yes | 1.5K |
| PredatorWin | Yes | 1K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 671.25 |
| neophyt | Yes | 499.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 498 |
| paspor | Yes | 451.75 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 421 |
| Sunoichi | Yes | 420 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-january-3
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