Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 38% on 19 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2026 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 35% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 65 points up, to 99.8% on 21 Jan 2026. $40.59K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 | 38.0% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.34K |
| Royal Signal 30B5 | No | 4.06K |
| 738925 | No | 1.5K |
| mishanya9913 | No | 930.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-january-20
| DemHavoc | No | 495.51 |
| Baba160 | No | 287.01 |
| Indigo Quasar EDFB | No | 244 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 201 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 186 |
| Separate-Equation | No | 163.91 |
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