Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, up 2.3 points from 1.2% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
The high was 3.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the low 1.2% on 19 Oct 2026.
12°C ranks fifth of the 11 outcomes in “Highest temperature in Moscow on October 20?”. 10°C leads at 45%; 11°C is at 23.5%.
$699.33 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $734.83 since listing. The order book holds $1.83K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $13.03 bought Yes and $492.08 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Sam-AI with 195 shares; the largest No position is Morra with 198. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 19, 5:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 1.2% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Morra | No | 197.59 |
| Sam-AI | Yes | 195.13 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 188.66 |
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-october-20-2026
| Temp.me |
| Yes |
| 177.38 |
| pilips | No | 139.98 |
| 241532532432 | No | 90 |
| Amber Oracle 44FF | Yes | 88.65 |
| Bland-Dynamite | Yes | 63.42 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | 44.03 |
| northdrawer | Yes | 28.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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