Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 21 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2025 to 22 Dec 2025, the highest close was 9.5% on 21 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.4 points down, to 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. $3.11K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 23, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Dec 2025 – 22 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | 9.5% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.98K |
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| paspor | Yes | 826.68 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 491 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-december-22
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 340.92 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 329 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 219 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 189 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 143 |
| shangjun | Yes | 131.1 |
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