Question 1

What is the “Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 1?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 1? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on May 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar… Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($3.26K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 28 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 92.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 2, 7:24 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-1-2026-29c) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid	Spread	Volume	Trades
May 1, 12:00 AM	17.0%	17.0%
Apr 30, 12:00 AM	24.0%	24.0%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 1?

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 1?

Questions about this market