Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on January 1?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.9K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 2 Jan 2026, the highest close was 1.5% on 31 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 2 Jan 2026. $8.88K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 8:27 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 2 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Dec 2025	1.5%
2 Jan 2026	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Supn	Yes	522
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	425
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	347
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	320

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.