Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 22% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 21 Dec 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 21 Dec 2025 and the lowest 22% on 20 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 39.5% on 21 Dec 2025. $1.76K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 21 Dec 2025, chart shows 15%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 22.0% |
| 21 Dec 2025 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 433 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 289 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 211 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 166 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-21
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 126 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 125 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 105 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| Dearest-Frame | Yes | 9 |
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