Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 14 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2025 to 15 Dec 2025, the highest close was 13.5% on 14 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Dec 2025. $7.16K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 16, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Dec 2025 – 15 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | 13.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 631 |
| tweetstoday | Yes | 400 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 231 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 203 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-14
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 180 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 166 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 150 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 123 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5 |
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