Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 18 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2026 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 18 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24.9% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 32.5% on 19 Jan 2026. $6.41K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Jan 2026 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | 24.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| 4yjusrgz | Yes | 408 |
| qwerty1233 | Yes | 272 |
| OmniStrat | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jan '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-january-19
| ducksa324 | Yes | 136 |
| Jade Quasar C580 | Yes | 136 |
| canucks1 | Yes | 136 |
| thebesttraderever | Yes | 136 |
| Coral Raven 775C | Yes | 112.29 |
| sunnyve | Yes | 108.05 |
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