Analytics
Yes is at 50%, about where the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 25 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?”.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in October, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. In the case of missing data from the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory, this market will remain open until the last calendar day of the following month, to allow for publication. If the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory has not published the relevant data by the last calendar day of the following month, this market will resolve to No. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-mtpt-washington-wind-speed-in-october-20260928t160000000z
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