Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 326 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 5 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12.5% on 6 Aug 2025. $239.71K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 7:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 326 points, 5 Aug 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 53.96K |
| SolaEclipse | Yes | 7.73K |
| TDPP | Yes | 4.91K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-635
| Informal-Purse | Yes | 3.05K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 2.55K |
| PropheticFire | Yes | 1.9K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.57K |
| IGBGMN | Yes | 1.3K |
| tktktktktktk | Yes | 1.22K |
| tamalaile | Yes | 799.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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