Harmonix FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$29.5K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 25% on 20 Nov 2025. $29.51K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 20 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Nov 2025	48.5%
20 Dec 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
zonh	Yes	1K
acal	Yes	999.99
Zigzag-Girlfriend	Yes	913.22
8Eotx5qJmuUVd	Yes	899.99

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Harmonix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Harmonix (https://x.com/harmonixfi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".