Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 21 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2024 to 1 May 2024, the highest close was 14.5% on 21 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.1 points down, to 0.4% on 30 Apr 2024. $3.12K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 21 Mar 2024 – 1 May 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2024 | 14.5% |
| 1 May 2024 | 0.4% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel from countries other than Haiti conduct officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations on the ground within the sovereign territory of Haiti intended to establish increased national security or stability between March 20, 2024 and April 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping and/or security operations must involve that country's physical police or military presence within the sovereign territory of Haiti. For the purposes of this market, "police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance or intelligence performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc. Security actions undertaken by a country exclusively to protect, evacuate, or maintain the safety of its embassy and personnel within Haiti will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign police, military, peacekeeping, or security intervention from the foreign government making the intervention. A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/haiti-intervention-by-april-30
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