Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 14 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2023 to 21 Aug 2023, the highest close was 48% on 26 Jun 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 29 Jun 2023. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 1% on 27 Jun 2023. $11.19K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 5:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 14 Jun 2023 – 21 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2023 | 34.5% |
| 21 Aug 2023 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ploptimus | Yes | 333.33 |
| Chubby-Lipid | Yes | 9.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over who will win the presidency in the 2023 Guatemala general election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/guatemala-presidential-election-who-will-win
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