
Resolved Guardians on 7 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Guardians at 49%. The Guardians side opened at 52% on 5 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 May 2025 to 7 May 2025, the highest close was 52% on 5 May 2025 and the lowest 26.5% on 6 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 26.5% on 6 May 2025. $271.93K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 6:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Guardians price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 May 2025 – 7 May 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Guardians price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2025 | 52.0% |
| 7 May 2025 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wowfarm | Nationals | 31.36K |
| S0RA-INC | Nationals | 4.26K |
| Usernombre | Nationals | 1.01K |
| lavishswog | Nationals | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for May 5 at 6:45PM ET: If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to “Guardians”. If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to “Nationals”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/guardians-vs-nationals
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