Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 22 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.8% on 18 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Apr 2026. $39.29K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 23, 5:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 22 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 2.8% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 3K |
| SadSimon2845 | Yes | 1K |
| Quarrelsome-Auto | Yes | 938.11 |
| Esteemed-Repayment | Yes | 779.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family, or similar variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gpt-5pt5-released-by
| holyshi | Yes | 670.96 |
| roaringlion1 | Yes | 452.37 |
| Usernamin | Yes | 224 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| Oval-Response | Yes | 152.13 |
| mikenede | Yes | 142.78 |
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