
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 27 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 25 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11% on 30 Dec 2025. $469.76K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 179 points · 27 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 4.55K |
| DanielRandom | Yes | 3K |
| huyewell | Yes | 2.49K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gc-hit-jun-2026
| Yes |
| 1.51K |
| Janusch | Yes | 1.5K |
| CantStopWontStop | Yes | 1.25K |
| Lunar Ledger 6D16 | Yes | 1K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| Lunar Atlas 5C60 | Yes | 1K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 999.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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