Analytics
Resolved Paul on 9 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Paul at 49.5%. The Paul side opened at 74.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 9 Dec 2025, the highest close was 74.5% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 49.5% on 9 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 50.5% on 5 Dec 2025. $335.62 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Paul price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 9 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Paul price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 74.5% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| assertequal | Kyrgios | 200 |
| rocketcrypto | Kyrgios | 12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Nick Kyrgios in the Garden Cup, scheduled for December 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden. This market will resolve to 'Paul' if Tommy Paul wins the match. This market will resolve to 'Kyrgios' if Nick Kyrgios wins the match. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, postponed after December 14, or there is otherwise no winner determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the live broadcast of this event; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/garden-cup-tommy-paul-vs-nick-kyrgios
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