Analytics
Resolved Sabalenka on 9 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Sabalenka at 87.9%. The Osaka side opened at 48% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 9 Dec 2025, the highest close was 48% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1% on 8 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 1% on 8 Dec 2025. $3.18K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Osaka price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 9 Dec 2025
| Observed | Osaka price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | 12.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Osaka | 908.06 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Osaka | 358.78 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Osaka | 288.93 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Osaka | 193.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Aryna Sabalenka in the Garden Cup, scheduled for December 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden. This market will resolve to 'Osaka' if Naomi Osaka wins the match. This market will resolve to 'Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka wins the match. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, is postponed after December 14, or there is otherwise no winner determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of this event; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/garden-cup-naomi-osaka-vs-aryna-sabalenka
| Bright Signal 14DE | Osaka | 184.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Osaka | 168.12 |
| juicemanjames | Osaka | 46.08 |
| Garmonbozia | Osaka | 20 |
| strulci | Osaka | 15 |
| triklozoid | Osaka | 14.99 |
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