Funding lapse without government shutdown?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on October 1 (ET) a U.S government funding lapse occurs, but the Government does NOT shut down. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The government will be considered to have shutdown if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations on October 1, 2025 ET. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, specifically the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/funding-lapse-without-government-shutdown