Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 336 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 100% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 23.5% on 1 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 61% on 2 Mar 2024. $952.53K traded over the market's life.
521 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 5:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 336 points, 1 Feb 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | 23.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 67.09K |
| Chad-Wasp | No | 15.29K |
| LoseSavings | No | 495 |
This is a market on the date of the first payout to creditors following the FTX bankruptcy proceedings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-ftx-bankruptcy-payout
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 400 |
| PolyStrateg1c436 | Yes | 175 |
| ggchat | No | 50 |
| kingfisher | No | 41.51 |
| coolbeergirl | Yes | 29.41 |
| BetPursuit99 | Yes | 15 |
| cashmoney420 | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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