Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 4 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2026 to 17 Jan 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 24% on 9 Jan 2026. $10.67K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 4 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nzone | Yes | 541.14 |
| Smug-Sunday | Yes | 508.97 |
| rami1004 | Yes | 300 |
| Cannae | Yes | 115 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Friday, January 16, 2026 between USL Dunkerque and Pau FC.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-usd-pau-2026-01-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 105 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.22 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| InTheLongRun | Yes | 13.34 |
| kaito99 | Yes | 10 |
| Hefty-Tshirt | Yes | 10 |
