Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 16 Feb 2026 and the low 35% on 23 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 35% on 23 Feb 2026. $10.33K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 16 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 7K |
| IKun11 | Yes | 238.1 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 109.99 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 100 |
| Cannae | Yes | 48.63 |
| Emerald Quasar 38CC | Yes | 26.55 |
| montagne | Yes | 23.26 |
| 2sharp4u | Yes | 10 |
| Fuzy017 | Yes | 10 |
| piattella | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 28, 2026 If Red Star FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-rst-lmf-2026-02-28
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