Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 42.5% on 22 Mar 2026 and the low 23% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 23% on 23 Mar 2026. $2.98K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 9:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 22 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | 42.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 283.99 |
| Cannae | Yes | 123.37 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 45.61 |
| stph81 | Yes | 14 |
| dark2727 | Yes | 9.82 |
| adspokposs | Yes | 8.94 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 6.43 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Red Star FC and Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-rst-lav-2026-04-03
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