
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 40%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 56% on 9 Mar 2026.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 60.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 6.75K |
| Cannae | Yes | 3.99K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 2.89K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 143.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Stade de Reims and Rodez Aveyron Football.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-rei-raf-2026-03-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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