
Resolved No on 6 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 26.5% on 5 Apr 2026 and the low 26% on 25 Mar 2026. $2.74K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 10:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 25 Mar 2026 – 5 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–32%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 26.0% |
| 5 Apr 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 97.81 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Dreary-Horror | Yes | 48.68 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 46.06 |
| Focused-Intestine | Yes | 39.76 |
| DuBistRichtig | Yes | 33.18 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 17.13 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 16.35 |
| Zeljko05 | Yes | 12.19 |
| Vivacious-Pigsty | Yes | 9.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Monday, April 6, 2026 between Le Mans FC and Pau FC.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-lmf-pau-2026-04-06
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