
Resolved Yes on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 20 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 39% on 18 Mar 2026.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 10:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punisher2022 | No | 1.55K |
| milomidas | No | 162.77 |
| Cannae | No | 62.93 |
| Supportive-Irony | No | 33.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Friday, March 20, 2026 between Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC and Grenoble Foot 38.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-lav-gre-2026-03-20
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