Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 69.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 4 Mar 2026 and the low 29% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 29% on 10 Mar 2026.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 11:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 4 Mar 2026 – 16 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 1.69K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 454.45 |
| Cointraders | Yes | 400 |
| Self-Reliant-Cockpit | Yes | 129.03 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 101.39 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 100 |
| ShadowyKey | Yes | 80 |
| dsosods | Yes | 76.92 |
| yqtttq | Yes | 64.52 |
| xC4rlos | Yes | 54.84 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Monday, March 16, 2026 between FC Annecy and ES Troyes AC.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-fca-tro-2026-03-16
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