Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92%. Yes opened at 61% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 92% on 16 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 15 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 58.5% on 19 Dec 2025. $300.77K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 16 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 61.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 92.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| diamantz | No | 8.76K |
| spekki | No | 3.53K |
| Hard-To-Find-Wild | No | 1.68K |
| cako | No | 1.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Football.Fun's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Football.Fun doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/footballfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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