Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 8:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ca112 | No | 17.69K |
| Falcon7291 | No | 10.49K |
| Faultier69 | No | 9.28K |
| dechuan | No | 7K |
| mortewfenloin | No | 6.86K |
| Bare-Ease | No | 5K |
| Lilybaeum | No | 4.85K |
| Cannae | No | 4.36K |
| rox119 | No | 4.2K |
| batya1 | No | 1.96K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between FC Metz and Toulouse FC.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fl1-met-tou-2026-03-15
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