Analytics
Resolved Under on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 20%. The Over side opened at 51% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2026, the highest close was 82.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 9 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 79.5% on 13 Oct 2026. $5.47K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 5:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 51.0% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Over | 311.29 |
| Alexandr23 | Over | 217.39 |
| toryxbt | Over | 199.91 |
| yatata | Over | 119.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between FC Lorient and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if AS Monaco FC score 1 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If AS Monaco FC score less than 1 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on AS Monaco FC's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fl1-lor-asm-2026-10-18-more-markets
| noname524 | Over | 74.19 |
| sitd | Over | 12.49 |
| undermacaaca | Over | 10 |
| m6ngster | Over | 7.1 |
| Space-Oddity | Over | 7 |
| Romarioo | Over | 4 |
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